Match

Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano: prediction and stats

La LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stage Front Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat

EspanyolRayo Vallecano

The Footlab AI model makes Espanyol the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Rayo Vallecano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Espanyol wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano?

A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Espanyol (2,005) and Rayo Vallecano (2,080).

39%27%34%
Espanyol winDrawRayo Vallecano win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Espanyol

4-2-3-1
  1. 9Roberto Fernández
  1. 28Javier Hernandez
  2. 8Edu Expósito
  3. 24T. Dolan
  4. 15Bryan Zaragoza
  5. 4Urko González
  1. 6L. Cabrera
  2. 23O. El Hilali
  3. 5C. Riedel
  4. 21Roger Hinojo
  1. 13M. Dmitrović

Rayo Vallecano

4-3-3
  1. 10Sergio Camello
  2. 18Álvaro García
  3. 19Jorge de Frutos
  1. 8Unai López
  2. 6P. Ciss
  3. 23Óscar Valentín
  1. 24F. Lejeune
  2. 2A. Rațiu
  3. 17Adrià Pedrosa
  4. 15Mujaid Sadick
  1. 25E. Audero

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:23 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Espanyol have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Rayo Vallecano have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Espanyol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Malaga(away)1-1La Liga
Sep 18, 2026Elche(home)1-3La Liga
Sep 15, 2026Rayo Vallecano(away)1-2La Liga
Sep 12, 2026Osasuna(away)2-0La Liga
Sep 6, 2026Sevilla(home)1-1La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026Osasuna(away)1-1La Liga
Sep 15, 2026Espanyol(home)2-1La Liga
Sep 12, 2026Real Madrid(away)1-4La Liga
Sep 5, 2026Racing Santander(home)3-2La Liga
Aug 31, 2026Barcelona(away)2-5La Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Espanyol wins, 0 draws, 2 Rayo Vallecano wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 15, 2026Rayo Vallecano 2-1 EspanyolLa Liga
Apr 23, 2026Rayo Vallecano 1-0 EspanyolLa Liga
Dec 7, 2025Espanyol 1-0 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
Apr 4, 2025Rayo Vallecano 0-4 EspanyolLa Liga
Aug 31, 2024Espanyol 2-1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
May 21, 2023Rayo Vallecano 1-2 EspanyolLa Liga

Last archived meeting: Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol on Sep 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Espanyol score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Vallecano score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Espanyol1.71.4411/1510/15
Rayo Vallecano1.41.9112/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Espanyol sit 12th in La Liga (8 points from 8 matches) and Rayo Vallecano sit 13th (8 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Espanyol822411118
13Rayo Vallecano722311168

A question about Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano?
The Footlab AI model makes Espanyol the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Rayo Vallecano.
Where and when is Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano played?
Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano is played on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stage Front Stadium, in the La Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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