Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo
The Footlab AI model makes Celta Vigo the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Rayo Vallecano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celta Vigo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Celta Vigo (2,073) and Rayo Vallecano (2,080).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celta Vigo
3-4-3- 9Ferran Jutglà
- 23Hugo Álvarez
- 11Pablo Durán
- 6I. Moriba
- 17Javi Rueda
- 22Javi Galán
- 8Miguel Román
- 18Yoel Lago
- 15Álvaro Núñez
- 3Marcos Alonso
- 13I. Radu
Rayo Vallecano
4-3-3- 10Sergio Camello
- 18Álvaro García
- 19Jorge de Frutos
- 8Unai López
- 6P. Ciss
- 23Óscar Valentín
- 24F. Lejeune
- 2A. Rațiu
- 17Adrià Pedrosa
- 15Mujaid Sadick
- 25E. Audero
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celta Vigo have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Rayo Vallecano have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Elche(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 5-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 1-4 | La Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 3-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 2-5 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Celta Vigo win, 3 draws, 2 Rayo Vallecano wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Celta Vigo 3-0 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| May 18, 2025 | Celta Vigo 1-2 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Celta Vigo 0-0 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| Dec 11, 2023 | Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celta Vigo score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Vallecano score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celta Vigo sit 9th in La Liga (8 points from 8 matches) and Rayo Vallecano sit 13th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
A question about Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celta Vigo the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Rayo Vallecano.
- Where and when is Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano played?
- Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.