Espoir vs Etincelles: result 4-1 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on December 8, 2018 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Cyangugu Regional Stadium, Cyangugu
Full time
What was the result of Espoir vs Etincelles?
Espoir won 4-1 on December 8, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Espoir have 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Etincelles have 1, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2018 | Marines(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 8, 2018 | Kirehe(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 2, 2018 | Musanze(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 30, 2018 | Amagaju(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 26, 2018 | Police(away) | 1-5 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2018 | Muhanga(home) | 2-2 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 6, 2018 | APR(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 3, 2018 | AS Kigali(away) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 30, 2018 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Bugesera(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Espoir score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 6; Etincelles score 0.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espoir | 0.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| Etincelles | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1 | 1/6 | 1/6 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Etincelles | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 32 | 40 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy