Essamaye vs Diambars: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Essamaye the favourite at 37%, against 34% for a draw and 29% for Diambars. The most likely score is 0-0. If Essamaye wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Essamaye vs Diambars?
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Essamaye vs Diambars
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Essamaye
Not enough data to predict the Essamaye lineup.
Diambars
4-3-3- 10M. Diaw
- 11B. Mboup
- 30S. Manga
- 5I. Boye
- 21C. Bodian
- 27Mouhamed Guèye I
- 24B. Sané
- 4B. Diallo
- 13C. Faye
- 25C. Diouf
- 1E. Sakho
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Essamaye have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Diambars have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | ES Zarzis(home) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 4, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 1-3 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Génération Foot(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 26, 2024 | DSC(away) | 2-7 | Ligue 1 |
| May 18, 2024 | Guédiawaye(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
A question about Essamaye vs Diambars?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Essamaye vs Diambars?
- The Footlab AI model makes Essamaye the favourite at 37%, against 34% for a draw and 29% for Diambars.
- Where and when is Essamaye vs Diambars played?
- Essamaye vs Diambars is played on October 17, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.