Jaraaf vs AJEL: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Demba Diop
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 38% for Jaraaf, 38% for a draw, 24% for AJEL. The most likely score is 0-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jaraaf vs AJEL?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Jaraaf (1,712) and AJEL (1,692).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jaraaf vs AJEL
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jaraaf
4-4-1-1- 8I. Kane
- 30A. Faty
- 6M. Saër Guèye
- 20A. Oualy
- 10M. Koïté
- 26M. Ben Ahmed Ba
- 9F. Fall
- 21J. Bocandé
- 3A. Diédhiou
- 4M. Guey
- 24C. Lo Ndoye
AJEL
Not enough data to predict the AJEL lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jaraaf have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; AJEL have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | AS Camberene(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 22, 2026 | Casa Sport(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | DSC(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 13, 2026 | Pikine(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Sonacos(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | Génération Foot(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 22, 2026 | La Linguère(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Gorée(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 13, 2026 | Guédiawaye(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Teungueth(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Jaraaf win, 1 draw, 2 AJEL wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | AJEL 1-0 Jaraaf | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Jaraaf 0-2 AJEL | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | AJEL 0-1 Jaraaf | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Jaraaf 1-1 AJEL | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Jaraaf score 0.7 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; AJEL score 0.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 19% probability of over 2.5 goals and 27% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaraaf | 0.7 | 0.4 | 10 | 1/15 | 2/15 |
| AJEL | 0.7 | 0.6 | 10 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jaraaf sit 7th in Ligue 1 (41 points from 30 matches) and AJEL sit 2nd (54 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AJEL | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 19 | 54 |
| 7 | Jaraaf | 30 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 16 | 41 |
A question about Jaraaf vs AJEL?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jaraaf vs AJEL?
- The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 38% for Jaraaf, 38% for a draw, 24% for AJEL.
- Where and when is Jaraaf vs AJEL played?
- Jaraaf vs AJEL is played on October 17, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Demba Diop, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 19% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.