Estac Troyes vs Lille: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 19Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
The Footlab AI model makes Lille the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Estac Troyes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lille wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Lille?
Lille starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (2,135 vs 1,962).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estac Troyes vs Lille
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estac Troyes
4-2-3-1- 9J. Le Douaron
- 8M. Diop
- 17A. Mille
- 29D. Karim
- 11I. Gomis
- 7K. Diawara
- 6A. Monfray
- 4M. Diaz
- 2L. Maronnier
- 5P. Gozzi
- 33P. Beach
Lille
4-2-3-1- 18A. Ueda
- 6N. Bentaleb
- 17N. Mukau
- 7D. Bakwa
- 10H. Haraldsson
- 21B. André
- 4Alexsandro Ribeiro
- 15R. Perraud
- 22Tiago Santos
- 3N. Ngoy
- 1B. Özer
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estac Troyes have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Lille have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Marseille(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Angers(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lille(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Strasbourg(home) | 2-6 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Le Havre(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Nice(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Estac Troyes win, 1 draw, 4 Lille wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lille 2-0 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Estac Troyes 1-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Lille 5-1 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Lille 2-0 Estac Troyes | Coupe de France |
| May 1, 2022 | Estac Troyes 3-0 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Lille 2-1 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lille vs Estac Troyes on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Estac Troyes score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lille score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Lille | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estac Troyes sit 17th in Ligue 1 (4 points from 6 matches) and Lille sit 2nd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Estac Troyes vs Lille?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estac Troyes vs Lille?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lille the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Estac Troyes.
- Where and when is Estac Troyes vs Lille played?
- Estac Troyes vs Lille is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de l'Aube, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.