Lorient vs Le Mans: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 19Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, Lorient
The Footlab AI model makes Lorient the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Le Mans. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lorient wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lorient vs Le Mans?
On Elo ratings, Lorient has 2,026 points and Le Mans 1,957.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lorient vs Le Mans
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lorient
3-4-2-1- 42M. Kone
- 17J. Makengo
- 43K. Kouassi
- 8N. Cadiou
- 33G. Bernardeau
- 2A. Georgen
- 10I. Jensen
- 32N. Adjei
- 3M. Talbi
- 20D. Sylla
- 38Y. Mvogo
Le Mans
3-1-4-2- 14L. Mafouta
- 13H. Diallo
- 26R. Bamba
- 10J. Vercruysse
- 29L. Bretelle
- 22L. Calodat
- 8A. Lauray
- 5H. Voyer
- 17S. Yohou
- 15N. Boissé
- 98N. Kocik
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lorient have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Le Mans have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Toulouse(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lens(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Guingamp(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lorient(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lens(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nice(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Lorient wins, 0 draws, 2 Le Mans wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Mans 2-1 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 4, 2020 | Lorient 4-2 Le Mans | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 23, 2019 | Le Mans 1-2 Lorient | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 13, 2019 | Lorient 1-2 Le Mans | Coupe de la Ligue |
| Jan 11, 2012 | Le Mans 0-1 Lorient | Coupe de la Ligue |
How many goals should we expect?
Lorient score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Le Mans score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Le Mans | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lorient sit 8th in Ligue 1 (8 points from 6 matches) and Le Mans sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| 14 | Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Lorient vs Le Mans?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lorient vs Le Mans?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lorient the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Le Mans.
- Where and when is Lorient vs Le Mans played?
- Lorient vs Le Mans is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.