Le Havre vs Toulouse: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 19Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Océane, Le Havre
The Footlab AI model makes Toulouse the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Le Havre. The most likely score is 1-1. If Toulouse wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Le Havre vs Toulouse?
Toulouse starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (2,042 vs 1,910).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Le Havre vs Toulouse
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Le Havre
4-3-3- 9J. Maja
- 25M. Samatta
- 30S. Nakamura
- 7A. Richardson
- 26S. Ebonog
- 14R. Ndiaye
- 5A. Touba
- 20D. Ouziad
- 6J. Mwanga
- 15A. Seko
- 93G. Gallon
Toulouse
4-2-3-1- 13J. Russell-Rowe
- 23C. Cásseres
- 8T. Jørgensen
- 20C. Tengstedt
- 14N. Sigur
- 37Y. Azizi
- 12C. Tapé
- 3M. McKenzie
- 22R. Messali
- 2R. Nicolaisen
- 16G. Restes
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 11:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Le Havre have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Toulouse have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Auxerre(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lille(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Angers(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | PAU(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Havre(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lorient(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Le Havre wins, 1 draw, 3 Toulouse wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Toulouse 3-2 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Le Havre 2-1 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Toulouse 0-0 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Le Havre 1-4 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Toulouse 2-0 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Le Havre 1-0 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Le Havre score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Toulouse score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Toulouse | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Le Havre sit 18th in Ligue 1 (2 points from 7 matches) and Toulouse sit 11th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 2 |
A question about Le Havre vs Toulouse?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Le Havre vs Toulouse?
- The Footlab AI model makes Toulouse the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Le Havre.
- Where and when is Le Havre vs Toulouse played?
- Le Havre vs Toulouse is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Océane, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.