Estepona vs Lorca Deportiva: result 1-3 and analysis
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 9Kick-off on November 2, 2025 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, Estepona
Full time
What was the result of Estepona vs Lorca Deportiva?
Lorca Deportiva won 1-3 on November 2, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 29′Javi CastedoEstepona
- 47′602508Lorca Deportiva
- 49′W. IbanezLorca Deportiva
- 62′José NaranjoLorca Deportiva
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estepona have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Lorca Deportiva have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | Malaga(home) | 1-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Ucam Murcia(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Yeclano(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Málaga II(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Real Jaén(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | Almeria(home) | 0-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Linares Deportivo(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Extremadura 1924(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Yeclano(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Estepona score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lorca Deportiva score 1.3 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estepona | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Lorca Deportiva | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estepona sit 13th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (44 points from 34 matches) and Lorca Deportiva sit 10th (45 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 32 | 36 | 45 |
| 13 | Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 44 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy