Sevilla Atletico vs Don Benito: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jesús Navas, Sevilla
The Footlab model makes Don Benito the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Sevilla Atletico. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sevilla Atletico vs Don Benito?
Don Benito starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,911 vs 1,761).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevilla Atletico have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Don Benito have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Alcorcon(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Villarreal II(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Gimnastic(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Moralo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| May 3, 2026 | Diocesano(home) | 8-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Villafranca(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Jerez(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santa Amalia(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sevilla Atletico win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Don Benito win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2019 | Sevilla Atletico 2-3 Don Benito | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Sevilla Atletico vs Don Benito on Nov 9, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Sevilla Atletico score 0.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Don Benito score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla Atletico | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Don Benito | 2.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Don Benito | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 51 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sevilla Atletico vs Don Benito?
- The Footlab model makes Don Benito the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Sevilla Atletico.
- Where and when is Sevilla Atletico vs Don Benito played?
- Sevilla Atletico vs Don Benito is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jesús Navas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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