Estonia vs Azerbaijan: result 3-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague C - 3Kick-off on October 11, 2024 at 04:00 PM (UTC)A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Full time
What was the result of Estonia vs Azerbaijan?
Estonia won 3-1 on October 11, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 32′I. YakovlevEstonia
- 45′T. BayramovAzerbaijan (pen.)
- 45′V. SinyavskiyEstonia
- 71′R. SheinEstonia
Official lineup for Estonia vs Azerbaijan
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Estonia
4-2-3-1- 8H. Anier
- 23V. Sinyavskiy
- 4M. Käit
- 15I. Yakovlev
- 5R. Shein
- 11M. Ainsalu
- 3M. Schjønning-Larsen
- 18K. Mets
- 16J. Tamm
- 13M. Paskotši
- 12K. Hein
Azerbaijan
3-4-3- 11R. Şeydayev
- 9R. Dadashov
- 17T. Bayramov
- 3E. Cəfərquliyev
- 20A. Isaev
- 7C. Diniyev
- 22A. Hüseynov
- 5A. Krivotsyuk
- 15B. Hüseynov
- 13R. Məmmədov
- 1M. Cənnətov
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estonia have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Azerbaijan have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2024 | Sweden(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Slovakia(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 11, 2024 | Lithuania(away) | 1-1 | Baltic Cup |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Faroe Islands(home) | 4-1 | Baltic Cup |
| Jun 4, 2024 | Switzerland(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2024 | Slovakia(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Sweden(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 11, 2024 | Kazakhstan(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2024 | Albania(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Mar 25, 2024 | Bulgaria(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Estonia wins, 1 draw, 1 Azerbaijan win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2023 | Estonia 0-2 Azerbaijan | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Azerbaijan 1-1 Estonia | Euro Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Estonia vs Azerbaijan on Oct 13, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Estonia score 0.6 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Azerbaijan score 1.1 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 0.6 | 2.6 | 0 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Azerbaijan | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estonia sit 2nd in UEFA Nations League (6 points from 4 matches) and Azerbaijan sit 1st (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AzerbaijanGroup B | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | EstoniaGroup D | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
A question about Estonia vs Azerbaijan?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy