Estonia vs Azerbaijan: result 3-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague C - 3Kick-off on October 11, 2024 at 04:00 PM (UTC)A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Full time
What was the result of Estonia vs Azerbaijan?
Estonia won 3-1 on October 11, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 32′I. YakovlevEstonia
- 45′T. BayramovAzerbaijan (pen.)
- 45′V. SinyavskiyEstonia
- 71′R. SheinEstonia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estonia have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Azerbaijan have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2024 | Sweden(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Slovakia(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 11, 2024 | Lithuania(away) | 1-1 | Baltic Cup |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Faroe Islands(home) | 4-1 | Baltic Cup |
| Jun 4, 2024 | Switzerland(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2024 | Slovakia(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Sweden(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 11, 2024 | Kazakhstan(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2024 | Albania(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Mar 25, 2024 | Bulgaria(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Estonia win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Azerbaijan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2023 | Estonia 0-2 Azerbaijan | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Azerbaijan 1-1 Estonia | Euro Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Estonia vs Azerbaijan on Oct 13, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Estonia score 0.6 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Azerbaijan score 1.1 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 0.6 | 2.6 | 0 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Azerbaijan | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy