Estrela vs Nacional: result 1-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 9, 2025 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
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What was the result of Estrela vs Nacional?
Estrela and Nacional drew 1-1 on November 9, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 40′José GomesNacional
- 62′S. Lopes CabralEstrela (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Nacional have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Casa Pia(away) | 5-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Alpendorada(away) | 1-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 4, 2025 | GIL Vicente(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | AVS(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Famalicao(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Estoril(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Rebordelo(away) | 3-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Moreirense(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | SC Braga(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Estrela win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | Nacional 0-1 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Estrela 2-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| May 21, 2023 | Estrela 0-1 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Nacional 0-1 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Estrela 0-0 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Nacional 4-1 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 1.0 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Nacional | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrela sit 8th in Primeira Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Nacional sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nacional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy