Estrela vs Nacional: result 1-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 9, 2025 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
Full time
What was the result of Estrela vs Nacional?
Estrela and Nacional drew 1-1 on November 9, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 40′José GomesNacional
- 62′S. Lopes CabralEstrela (pen.)
Official lineup for Estrela vs Nacional
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Estrela
3-4-3- 8Robinho
- 98Kikas
- 99A. Marcus
- 55S. Lopes Cabral
- 19Paulo Moreira
- 6O. Ngom
- 17Jefferson Encada
- 21Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
- 79A. Chernev
- 30Luan Patrick
- 40Renan Ribeiro
Nacional
5-4-1- 9C. Ramírez
- 11Paulinho Bóia
- 15C. Labidi
- 28Liziero
- 7Witi
- 5José Gomes
- 33Francisco Gonçalves
- 6Matheus Dias
- 34Léo Santos
- 2João Aurélio
- 1Kaique
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Nacional have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Casa Pia(away) | 5-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Alpendorada(away) | 1-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 4, 2025 | GIL Vicente(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | AVS(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Famalicao(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Estoril(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Rebordelo(away) | 3-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Moreirense(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | SC Braga(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Estrela wins, 1 draw, 2 Nacional wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | Nacional 0-1 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Estrela 2-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| May 21, 2023 | Estrela 0-1 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Nacional 0-1 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Estrela 0-0 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Nacional 4-1 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 1.0 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Nacional | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrela sit 10th in Primeira Liga (10 points from 8 matches) and Nacional sit 16th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 4 |
A question about Estrela vs Nacional?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy