Arouca vs Estoril: result 1-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 16, 2025 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs Estoril?
Arouca and Estoril drew 1-1 on March 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 13′M. SyllaArouca
- 90′Alejandro MarquésEstoril (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Estoril have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | AVS(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 1, 2025 | FC Porto(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Farense(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Sporting CP(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Farense(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 3, 2025 | Sporting CP(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Rio Ave(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Nacional(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Boavista(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Arouca win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Estoril win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | Estoril 4-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Estoril 1-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Arouca 4-3 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| May 15, 2023 | Estoril 2-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Arouca 2-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 27, 2022 | Estoril 1-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril score 1.7 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Estoril | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arouca sit 1st in Primeira Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Estoril sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy