Estrela do Norte vs Nova Venécia: result 1-0 and analysis
Capixaba1st Round - 2Kick-off on January 26, 2023 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Mário Monteiro, Cachoeiro de Itapemirim, Espírito Santo
Full time
What was the result of Estrela do Norte vs Nova Venécia?
Estrela do Norte won 1-0 on January 26, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 2′Matheus Santiago MarquesEstrela do Norte
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela do Norte have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Nova Venécia have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | Serra Talhada(away) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Apr 7, 2022 | Vitória ES(home) | 1-4 | Capixaba |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Vitória ES(away) | 0-2 | Capixaba |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Real Noroeste(home) | 1-1 | Capixaba |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Desportiva ES(away) | 0-0 | Capixaba |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | Vilavelhense(home) | 2-0 | Capixaba |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Portuguesa RJ(home) | 2-2 | Serie D |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Portuguesa RJ(away) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Jul 31, 2022 | Brasiliense(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 24, 2022 | Brasiliense(home) | 3-1 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Estrela do Norte win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Nova Venécia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2022 | Estrela do Norte 1-2 Nova Venécia | Capixaba |
Last archived meeting: Estrela do Norte vs Nova Venécia on Mar 7, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela do Norte score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nova Venécia score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela do Norte | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Nova Venécia | 1.4 | 1.1 | 2 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nova Venécia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy