Estrela vs Arouca: result 3-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 7, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
Full time
What was the result of Estrela vs Arouca?
Estrela won 3-1 on December 7, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 29′KikasEstrela
- 34′A. MarcusEstrela
- 59′T. FukuiArouca
- 89′Rodrigo PinhoEstrela
Official lineup for Estrela vs Arouca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Estrela
3-4-3- 11Jovane Cabral
- 98Kikas
- 99A. Marcus
- 10I. Stoica
- 6O. Ngom
- 19Paulo Moreira
- 55S. Lopes Cabral
- 83Otávio
- 14Bernardo Schappo
- 30Luan Patrick
- 40Renan Ribeiro
Arouca
4-3-3- 7N. Djouahra
- 23D. Nandín
- 19A. Trezza
- 21T. Fukui
- 22E. van Ee
- 11Miguel Puche
- 44A. Danté
- 5B. Popović
- 66Omar Fayed
- 78Alex Pinto
- 58N. Mantl
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Arouca have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Valladolid(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Nacional(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Casa Pia(away) | 5-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | SC Braga(home) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Fafe(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Estoril(away) | 3-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Moreirense(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Benfica(away) | 0-5 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Estrela win, 1 draw, 2 Arouca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2025 | Arouca 1-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 9, 2024 | Estrela 2-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| May 5, 2024 | Arouca 0-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 28, 2023 | Estrela 1-4 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 1.1 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 1.1 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Arouca | 1.1 | 2.5 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrela sit 10th in Primeira Liga (10 points from 8 matches) and Arouca sit 5th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 14 |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
A question about Estrela vs Arouca?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy