Alverca vs Nacional: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 7, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
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What was the result of Alverca vs Nacional?
Alverca won 1-0 on December 7, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 88′M. MilovanovićAlverca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alverca have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Nacional have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Casa Pia(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Sporting CP(away) | 1-5 | Taça da Liga |
| Oct 24, 2025 | GIL Vicente(home) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Benfica(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | SC Braga(away) | 2-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Estrela(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Famalicao(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Estoril(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Alverca score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alverca | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Nacional | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alverca sit 16th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 3 matches) and Nacional sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nacional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 | Alverca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy