Arouca vs Casa Pia: result 0-2 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 14, 2025 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs Casa Pia?
Casa Pia won 0-2 on September 14, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 14′CassianoCasa Pia
- 67′David SousaCasa Pia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Casa Pia have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Guimaraes(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Rio Ave(home) | 3-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-6 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2025 | AVS(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Nacional(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 24, 2025 | FC Porto(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 15, 2025 | AVS(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Alverca(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arouca win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Casa Pia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Arouca 0-0 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Casa Pia 3-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Casa Pia 1-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Arouca 0-1 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Arouca 2-0 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Casa Pia 0-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Casa Pia score 1.0 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Casa Pia | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arouca sit 3rd in Primeira Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Casa Pia sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy