FC Porto vs Nacional: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 13, 2025 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
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What was the result of FC Porto vs Nacional?
FC Porto won 1-0 on September 13, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 31′SamuFC Porto (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Porto have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Nacional have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Sporting CP(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Casa Pia(home) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 18, 2025 | GIL Vicente(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Guimaraes(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Casa Pia(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Rio Ave(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2025 | GIL Vicente(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Maritimo(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FC Porto win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | FC Porto 3-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Nacional 2-0 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 13, 2024 | FC Porto 4-1 Nacional | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Nacional 0-1 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 12, 2021 | Nacional 2-4 FC Porto | Taça de Portugal |
| Dec 20, 2020 | FC Porto 2-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Porto score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 0.9 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Nacional | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Porto sit 4th in Primeira Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Nacional sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Nacional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy