Guimaraes vs Estrela: result 0-1 and analysis
Friendlies ClubsClub Friendlies 5Kick-off on July 26, 2025 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
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What was the result of Guimaraes vs Estrela?
Estrela won 0-1 on July 26, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Estrela have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2025 | Portimonense(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Ponferradina(home) | 10-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2025 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| May 11, 2025 | Farense(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| May 3, 2025 | Nacional(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | Estoril(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| May 11, 2025 | AVS(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| May 5, 2025 | Rio Ave(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 26, 2025 | FC Porto(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Arouca(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Guimaraes win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Estrela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | Guimaraes 2-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Estrela 2-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Guimaraes 3-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Estrela 0-1 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 0.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 2.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Estrela | 0.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy