Where and when is Estrella vs Los Llanos played?

Estrella vs Los Llanos is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Palmitas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Estrella vs Los Llanos: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Palmitas, Gran Canaria

Estrella

Los Llanos

The Footlab model makes Estrella the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Los Llanos. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Estrella vs Los Llanos?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Estrella (1,598) and Los Llanos (1,634).

Estrella win49 %

Draw28 %

Los Llanos win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrella have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Los Llanos have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Estrella
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 11, 2025	Herbania(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 4, 2025	San Bartolomé(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2025	Santa Úrsula(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 17, 2025	Buzanada(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2025	Marino(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Los Llanos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 11, 2025	Panadería Pulido(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 4, 2025	Tamaraceite(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2025	Las Palmas II(home)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 17, 2025	Herbania(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2025	San Bartolomé(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Estrella win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Los Llanos win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 8, 2025	Estrella 0-0 Los Llanos	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 28, 2024	Los Llanos 3-1 Estrella	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Estrella vs Los Llanos on Feb 8, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Estrella score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Los Llanos score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Estrella	0.9	1.0	5	7/15	4/15
Los Llanos	0.9	1.5	5	4/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Estrella vs Los Llanos?: The Footlab model makes Estrella the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Los Llanos.
Where and when is Estrella vs Los Llanos played?: Estrella vs Los Llanos is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Palmitas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.