Where and when is Estrella vs Playas Sotavento played?

Estrella vs Playas Sotavento is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Palmitas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Estrella vs Playas Sotavento: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Palmitas, Gran Canaria

Estrella

Playas Sotavento

The Footlab model makes Estrella the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Playas Sotavento. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Estrella vs Playas Sotavento?

Playas Sotavento starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,746 vs 1,598).

Estrella win48 %

Draw28 %

Playas Sotavento win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrella have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Playas Sotavento have 0, 1 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Estrella
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 11, 2025	Herbania(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 4, 2025	San Bartolomé(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2025	Santa Úrsula(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 17, 2025	Buzanada(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2025	Marino(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Playas Sotavento
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Oct 9, 2024	Gévora(away)	1-1	Copa del Rey

How many goals should we expect?

Estrella score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Playas Sotavento score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Estrella	0.9	1.0	5	7/15	4/15
Playas Sotavento	1.0	1.0	0	1/1	0/1

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Estrella vs Playas Sotavento?: The Footlab model makes Estrella the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Playas Sotavento.
Where and when is Estrella vs Playas Sotavento played?: Estrella vs Playas Sotavento is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Palmitas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.