Marek vs Montana: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa
The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Montana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marek vs Montana?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Marek (1,644) and Montana (1,625).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marek have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Montana have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 4-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Montana(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Marek win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Montana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Montana 1-0 Marek | Second League |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Marek 1-4 Montana | Cup |
| Dec 5, 2024 | Marek 2-1 Montana | Second League |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Montana 0-0 Marek | Second League |
| Dec 4, 2023 | Montana 2-1 Marek | Second League |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Marek 0-0 Montana | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Montana score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Montana | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marek sit 10th in Second League (6 points from 5 matches) and Montana sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Montana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Marek | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marek vs Montana?
- The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Montana.
- Where and when is Marek vs Montana played?
- Marek vs Montana is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027BeroevsFratria
- Feb 27, 2027NesebarvsSportist Svoge
- Feb 27, 2027CSKA Sofia IIvsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Feb 27, 2027Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsSpartak Pleven
- Feb 27, 2027Hebar 1918vsPirin Blagoevgrad
- Feb 27, 2027VihrenvsLudogorets II
- Feb 27, 2027Yantra 2019vsDobrudzha
- Feb 27, 2027Rilski SportistvsEtar Veliko Tarnovo