Ethiopia Bunna vs Gamo Chencha: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba
The Footlab AI model makes Ethiopia Bunna the favourite at 39%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Gamo Chencha. The most likely score is 0-0. If Ethiopia Bunna wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,612 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ethiopia Bunna vs Gamo Chencha?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Ethiopia Bunna (1,527) and Gamo Chencha (1,443).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ethiopia Bunna vs Gamo Chencha
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ethiopia Bunna
Not enough data to predict the Ethiopia Bunna lineup.
Gamo Chencha
Not enough data to predict the Gamo Chencha lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 05:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia Bunna have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Gamo Chencha have 0, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Adama Kenema(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mebrat Hayl(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Negelle Arsi(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kedus Giorgis(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sheger Ketema(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Awassa Kenema(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Mekelakeya(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethiopian Medhin(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ethiopia Bunna score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gamo Chencha score 0.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia Bunna | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Gamo Chencha | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1 | 1/4 | 1/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ethiopia Bunna sit 14th in Premier League (4 points from 5 matches) and Gamo Chencha sit 18th (1 point from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Ethiopia Bunna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
A question about Ethiopia Bunna vs Gamo Chencha?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ethiopia Bunna vs Gamo Chencha?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ethiopia Bunna the favourite at 39%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Gamo Chencha.
- Where and when is Ethiopia Bunna vs Gamo Chencha played?
- Ethiopia Bunna vs Gamo Chencha is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Addis Ababa Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027BahardarvsSheger Ketema
- Apr 10, 2027Fasil KetemavsAdama Kenema
- Apr 10, 2027Kedus GiorgisvsAwassa Kenema
- Apr 10, 2027Welayta DichavsEthiopian Medhin
- Apr 10, 2027Welwalo Adigrat UnivsNegelle Arsi
- Apr 10, 2027Mebrat HaylvsSidama Bunna
- Apr 10, 2027Hadiya HosaenavsEthiopia Nigd Bank
- Apr 10, 2027Halaba KetemavsMekelakeya