Halaba Ketema vs Mekelakeya: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Halaba Ketema. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,782 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Halaba Ketema vs Mekelakeya?
Mekelakeya starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,587 vs 1,464).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Halaba Ketema vs Mekelakeya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Halaba Ketema
Not enough data to predict the Halaba Ketema lineup.
Mekelakeya
4-3-3- 27A. Yigzaw
- 14Mohammed Abera
- 35C. Kudjoe
- 7Bereket Desta Dana
- 10Abdulkarim Worku
- 19C. Gugsa
- 6G. Hagos
- 34N. Hailu
- 2F. Jemal
- 22C. Menberu
- 1Nafian Legason Alionzi
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 08:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Halaba Ketema have 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Mekelakeya have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Welayta Dicha(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Fasil Ketema(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Bahardar(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Ethiopian Medhin(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Gamo Chencha(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Awassa Kenema(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Halaba Ketema score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 4; Mekelakeya score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halaba Ketema | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1 | 2/4 | 1/4 |
| Mekelakeya | 0.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Halaba Ketema sit 9th in Premier League (5 points from 4 matches) and Mekelakeya sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mekelakeya | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Halaba Ketema | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Halaba Ketema vs Mekelakeya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Halaba Ketema vs Mekelakeya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Halaba Ketema.
- Where and when is Halaba Ketema vs Mekelakeya played?
- Halaba Ketema vs Mekelakeya is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027BahardarvsSheger Ketema
- Apr 10, 2027Ethiopia BunnavsGamo Chencha
- Apr 10, 2027Fasil KetemavsAdama Kenema
- Apr 10, 2027Kedus GiorgisvsAwassa Kenema
- Apr 10, 2027Welayta DichavsEthiopian Medhin
- Apr 10, 2027Welwalo Adigrat UnivsNegelle Arsi
- Apr 10, 2027Mebrat HaylvsSidama Bunna
- Apr 10, 2027Hadiya HosaenavsEthiopia Nigd Bank