Ethiopia vs Rwanda: result 1-0 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 3Kick-off on March 19, 2023 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba
Full time
What was the result of Ethiopia vs Rwanda?
Ethiopia won 1-0 on March 19, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 83′K. MarknehEthiopia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Rwanda have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | Libya(away) | 1-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 17, 2023 | Algeria(away) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Mozambique(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Uganda(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 9, 2022 | Egypt(home) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | Sudan(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2022 | Sudan(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 23, 2022 | Equatorial Guinea(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2022 | Senegal(home) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 2, 2022 | Mozambique(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ethiopia win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Rwanda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2019 | Rwanda 1-1 Ethiopia | African Nations Championship |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Ethiopia 0-1 Rwanda | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Rwanda 0-0 Ethiopia | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Ethiopia 2-3 Rwanda | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 21, 2015 | Ethiopia 0-1 Rwanda | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Jul 27, 2013 | Rwanda 1-0 Ethiopia | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Ethiopia score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rwanda score 0.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Rwanda | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy