Malawi vs Lesotho: result 1-1 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 3Kick-off on February 25, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bingu National Stadium, Lilongwe
Full time
What was the result of Malawi vs Lesotho?
Malawi and Lesotho drew 1-1 on February 25, 2023.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malawi have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Lesotho have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2022 | Mauritius(away) | 2-0 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 8, 2022 | Eswatini(home) | 1-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 6, 2022 | Lesotho(away) | 1-2 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jun 9, 2022 | Guinea(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 5, 2022 | Ethiopia(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2022 | Eswatini(away) | 0-2 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 8, 2022 | Mauritius(home) | 2-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 6, 2022 | Malawi(home) | 2-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jun 9, 2022 | Ivory Coast(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 3, 2022 | Comoros(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Malawi win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Lesotho win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2022 | Lesotho 2-1 Malawi | COSAFA Cup |
| Oct 14, 2019 | Lesotho 1-1 Malawi | Friendlies |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Malawi 1-1 Lesotho | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Malawi score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lesotho score 0.8 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malawi | 0.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Lesotho | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy