Malawi vs Lesotho: result 1-1 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 3Kick-off on February 25, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bingu National Stadium, Lilongwe
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What was the result of Malawi vs Lesotho?
Malawi and Lesotho drew 1-1 on February 25, 2023.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malawi have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Lesotho have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2022 | Mauritius(away) | 2-0 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 8, 2022 | Eswatini(home) | 1-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 6, 2022 | Lesotho(away) | 1-2 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jun 9, 2022 | Guinea(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 5, 2022 | Ethiopia(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2022 | Eswatini(away) | 0-2 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 8, 2022 | Mauritius(home) | 2-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 6, 2022 | Malawi(home) | 2-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jun 9, 2022 | Ivory Coast(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 3, 2022 | Comoros(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Malawi wins, 2 draws, 1 Lesotho win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2022 | Lesotho 2-1 Malawi | COSAFA Cup |
| Oct 14, 2019 | Lesotho 1-1 Malawi | Friendlies |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Malawi 1-1 Lesotho | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Malawi score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lesotho score 0.8 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malawi | 0.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Lesotho | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Malawi vs Lesotho?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy