Ethnikos Achna vs APEA: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Dasaki Achnas, Dasaki Achnas
The Footlab model makes Ethnikos Achna the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for APEA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ethnikos Achna vs APEA?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Ethnikos Achna (1,697) and APEA (1,598).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethnikos Achna have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; APEA have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Enosis(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Akritas(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ethnikos Latsion(home) | 2-1 | 2. Division |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Iraklis Yerolakkou(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Spartakos Kitiou(home) | 4-0 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Halkanoras(away) | 1-3 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Ahironas / Onisilos(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Ethnikos Achna score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; APEA score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethnikos Achna | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| APEA | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | APEA | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ethnikos Achna vs APEA?
- The Footlab model makes Ethnikos Achna the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for APEA.
- Where and when is Ethnikos Achna vs APEA played?
- Ethnikos Achna vs APEA is played on October 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Dasaki Achnas, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.