Etincelles vs Bugesera: result 1-2 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on January 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Umuganda, Gisenyi
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What was the result of Etincelles vs Bugesera?
Bugesera won 1-2 on January 11, 2026.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etincelles have 1 win, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Bugesera have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Jan 3, 2026 | AS Kigali(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Rayon Sports(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Police(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Al Merreikh(home) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | APR(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Police(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 19, 2025 | AS Kigali(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Rayon Sports(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 1-3 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Etincelles wins, 2 draws, 2 Bugesera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2025 | Etincelles 0-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Bugesera 1-1 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Bugesera 2-2 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Etincelles 3-2 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| May 21, 2023 | Etincelles 3-2 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Bugesera 3-1 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Etincelles vs Bugesera on May 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Etincelles score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bugesera score 0.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etincelles | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Bugesera | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etincelles sit 2nd in National Soccer League (7 points from 4 matches) and Bugesera sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Etincelles | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Bugesera | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
A question about Etincelles vs Bugesera?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy