Gicumbi vs Musanze: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueMatchday 9Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gicumbi Stadium, Byumba
The Footlab AI model makes Gicumbi the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Musanze. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gicumbi wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,019 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gicumbi vs Musanze?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Gicumbi (1,550) and Musanze (1,609).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gicumbi vs Musanze
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gicumbi
Not enough data to predict the Gicumbi lineup.
Musanze
Not enough data to predict the Musanze lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 03:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gicumbi have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Musanze have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Gorilla(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Sunrise(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mukura(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | AS Kigali(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 0-3 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Police(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gasogi United(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Gicumbi wins, 1 draw, 5 Musanze wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Gicumbi 0-3 Musanze | National Soccer League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Musanze 3-2 Gicumbi | National Soccer League |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Musanze 1-0 Gicumbi | National Soccer League |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Gicumbi 0-0 Musanze | National Soccer League |
| Mar 10, 2020 | Musanze 2-0 Gicumbi | National Soccer League |
| Nov 5, 2019 | Gicumbi 0-3 Musanze | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gicumbi score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Musanze score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gicumbi | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Musanze | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gicumbi sit 2nd in National Soccer League (13 points from 7 matches) and Musanze sit 8th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gicumbi | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Musanze | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 9 |
A question about Gicumbi vs Musanze?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gicumbi vs Musanze?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gicumbi the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Musanze.
- Where and when is Gicumbi vs Musanze played?
- Gicumbi vs Musanze is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gicumbi Stadium, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.