Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge
The Footlab model makes Yverdon Sport the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Étoile Carouge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport?
Yverdon Sport starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,915 vs 1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Étoile Carouge have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Yverdon Sport have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais(away) | 0-0 | Challenge League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Collex-Bossy(away) | 2-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Neuchatel Xamax FC(home) | 0-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Yverdon Sport(away) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | FC Aarau(home) | 3-0 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Aarau(home) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Terre Sainte(away) | 5-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | SC Kriens(away) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Étoile Carouge(home) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | FC Winterthur(away) | 2-2 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Étoile Carouge win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Yverdon Sport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Yverdon Sport 1-1 Étoile Carouge | Challenge League |
| May 3, 2026 | Yverdon Sport 3-5 Étoile Carouge | Challenge League |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Étoile Carouge 2-2 Yverdon Sport | Challenge League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Yverdon Sport 2-0 Étoile Carouge | Challenge League |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Étoile Carouge 2-1 Yverdon Sport | Challenge League |
| Jun 5, 2021 | Étoile Carouge 2-0 Yverdon Sport | 1. Liga Promotion |
Last archived meeting: Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Étoile Carouge score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Yverdon Sport score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Étoile Carouge | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Yverdon Sport | 2.0 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Étoile Carouge sit 6th in Challenge League (5 points from 4 matches) and Yverdon Sport sit 3rd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Yverdon Sport | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Étoile Carouge | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Yverdon Sport the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Étoile Carouge.
- Where and when is Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport played?
- Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Fontenette, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.