Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sportstadion Grünfeld, Jona
The Footlab model makes Stade Lausanne-Ouchy the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Rapperswil. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Rapperswil (1,795) and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (1,858).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rapperswil have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Stade Lausanne-Ouchy have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Winterthur(home) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 6-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy(away) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais(away) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | FC WIL 1900(home) | 4-5 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Neuchatel Xamax FC(away) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Italien(away) | 8-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rapperswil(home) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Aarau(away) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais(home) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rapperswil win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2-0 Rapperswil | Challenge League |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1-2 Rapperswil | Challenge League |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Rapperswil 1-0 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 0-2 Rapperswil | Challenge League |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Rapperswil 1-2 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Rapperswil 2-3 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Schweizer Cup |
Last archived meeting: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Rapperswil on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rapperswil score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Lausanne-Ouchy score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rapperswil | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rapperswil sit 8th in Challenge League (3 points from 4 matches) and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Rapperswil | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
- The Footlab model makes Stade Lausanne-Ouchy the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Rapperswil.
- Where and when is Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy played?
- Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sportstadion Grünfeld, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.