Novakin vs Céleste: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 4Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Céleste the favourite at 34%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Novakin. The most likely score is 0-0. If Céleste wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,823 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novakin vs Céleste?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Novakin (1,572) and Céleste (1,576).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Novakin vs Céleste
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Novakin
Not enough data to predict the Novakin lineup.
Céleste
Not enough data to predict the Céleste lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 06:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
In their last match in all competitions, Novakin have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat; Céleste have 0, 5 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | JSK(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | FC Renaissance(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | FC Mk de Kinshasa(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 20, 2026 | TP Mazembe(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Maniema Union(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Novakin score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match in their last match; Céleste score 0.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novakin | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
| Céleste | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last match in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Céleste | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
A question about Novakin vs Céleste?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novakin vs Céleste?
- The Footlab AI model makes Céleste the favourite at 34%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Novakin.
- Where and when is Novakin vs Céleste played?
- Novakin vs Céleste is played on November 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.