ETSV Hamburg vs Sasel: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 17Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Mittlerer Landweg, Hamburg
The Footlab AI model makes ETSV Hamburg the favourite at 66%, against 16% for a draw and 18% for Sasel. The most likely score is 3-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ETSV Hamburg vs Sasel?
ETSV Hamburg starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (1,964 vs 1,773).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ETSV Hamburg vs Sasel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ETSV Hamburg
Not enough data to predict the ETSV Hamburg lineup.
Sasel
Not enough data to predict the Sasel lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ETSV Hamburg have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Sasel have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(home) | 4-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Paloma(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Buchholz(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pinneberg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 20, 2026 | HT16(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 ETSV Hamburg wins, 1 draw, 1 Sasel win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg 4-0 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Sasel 1-1 ETSV Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 21, 2025 | ETSV Hamburg 2-0 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Sasel 0-5 ETSV Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Sasel 0-1 ETSV Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 25, 2023 | ETSV Hamburg 1-3 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: ETSV Hamburg vs Sasel on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ETSV Hamburg score 2.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sasel score 1.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETSV Hamburg | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
| Sasel | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ETSV Hamburg sit 1st in Oberliga - Hamburg (83 points from 34 matches) and Sasel sit 10th (50 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ETSV Hamburg | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 126 | 27 | 83 |
| 10 | Sasel | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 88 | 50 |
A question about ETSV Hamburg vs Sasel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ETSV Hamburg vs Sasel?
- The Footlab AI model makes ETSV Hamburg the favourite at 66%, against 16% for a draw and 18% for Sasel.
- Where and when is ETSV Hamburg vs Sasel played?
- ETSV Hamburg vs Sasel is played on November 20, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Mittlerer Landweg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.