Europa Point vs Magpies: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 20, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Magpies the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Europa Point. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Europa Point vs Magpies?
Magpies starts as the favourite with a 250-point Elo edge (1,334 vs 1,085).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Europa Point have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Magpies have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Mar 3, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(home) | 0-7 | Premier Division |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Magpies(home) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(away) | 0-4 | Rock Cup |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Mons Calpe(away) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Europa Point(away) | 3-0 | Premier Division |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Lynx(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Hound Dogs(away) | 0-0 | Rock Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Europa Point win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Magpies win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Europa Point 0-3 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Magpies 0-1 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Europa Point 0-4 Magpies | Rock Cup |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Europa Point 0-7 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Magpies 3-2 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Europa Point 0-0 Magpies | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Europa Point vs Magpies on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Europa Point score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Magpies score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europa Point | 1.6 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Magpies | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Europa Point sit 4th in Premier Division (1 points from 1 matches) and Magpies sit 6th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Europa Point | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Magpies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Europa Point vs Magpies?
- The Footlab model makes Magpies the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Europa Point.
- Where and when is Europa Point vs Magpies played?
- Europa Point vs Magpies is played on January 20, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.