Everton U21 vs Borussia M'gladbach II: prediction and stats
Premier League International CupGroup StageKick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)The BIG HELP Stadium, Southport, Merseyside
The Footlab model makes Borussia M'gladbach II the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Everton U21. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Everton U21 vs Borussia M'gladbach II?
Borussia M'gladbach II starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Everton U21 have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Borussia M'gladbach II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Liverpool U21(home) | 1-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 3-6 | EFL Trophy |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 11, 2026 | Huddersfield Town U21(away) | 1-3 | Professional Development League |
| May 1, 2026 | Brentford U21(home) | 4-2 | Professional Development League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Bocholt(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Everton U21 score 1.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia M'gladbach II score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton U21 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Borussia M'gladbach II | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Everton U21 vs Borussia M'gladbach II?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia M'gladbach II the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Everton U21.
- Where and when is Everton U21 vs Borussia M'gladbach II played?
- Everton U21 vs Borussia M'gladbach II is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at The BIG HELP Stadium, in the Premier League International Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 19, 2026Sunderland U211-1Jong PSV U21
- Aug 26, 2026Fulham U21vsBorussia Dortmund II
- Sep 2, 2026Aston Villa U21vsBrondby U21
- Sep 2, 2026Crystal Palace U21vsParis Saint-Germain U21
- Sep 2, 2026Everton U21vsMilan II
- Sep 15, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21vsDinamo Zagreb U21
- Sep 15, 2026Aston Villa U21vsReal Sociedad II
- Sep 16, 2026Stoke City U21vsBorussia M'gladbach II