Everton vs Tottenham: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, Merseyside
The Footlab AI model makes Everton the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Tottenham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Everton wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,370 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Everton vs Tottenham?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Everton (2,164) and Tottenham (2,124).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Everton vs Tottenham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Everton
4-2-3-1- 11T. Barry
- 8K. Dewsbury-Hall
- 37J. Garner
- 45H. Armstrong
- 22B. Johnson
- 10J. Grealish
- 6J. Tarkowski
- 4J. Branthwaite
- 2A. Maitland-Niles
- 5M. Keane
- 1J. Pickford
Tottenham
4-2-3-1- 19D. Solanke
- 16S. Tonali
- 17Sávio
- 8C. Gallagher
- 15L. Bergvall
- 20M. Kudus
- 6J. van Hecke
- 14A. Gray
- 13D. Udogie
- 5M. Senesi
- 31A. Kinský
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Everton have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Tottenham have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Everton(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Everton win, 2 draws, 3 Tottenham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tottenham 0-0 Everton | Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Tottenham 1-0 Everton | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Everton 0-3 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Everton 3-2 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Tottenham 4-0 Everton | Premier League |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Everton 2-2 Tottenham | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Everton score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tottenham score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 1.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Tottenham | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Everton sit 5th in Premier League (10 points from 6 matches) and Tottenham sit 19th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
A question about Everton vs Tottenham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Everton vs Tottenham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Everton the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Tottenham.
- Where and when is Everton vs Tottenham played?
- Everton vs Tottenham is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hill Dickinson Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.