Hull City vs Chelsea: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 30Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The MKM Stadium, Hull
The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Hull City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chelsea wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,644 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hull City vs Chelsea?
Chelsea starts as the favourite with a 231-point Elo edge (2,104 vs 1,874).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hull City vs Chelsea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hull City
5-4-1- 9O. McBurnie
- 27R. Slater
- 21E. Stroud
- 42T. Iroegbunam
- 10M. Belloumi
- 2L. Coyle
- 6S. Ajayi
- 15J. Egan
- 32N. Mendy
- 3R. Giles
- 19K. Tzolakis
Chelsea
4-2-3-1- 7Pedro Neto
- 17M. Rogers
- 25M. Caicedo
- 10C. Palmer
- 45R. Lavia
- 14J. Henderson
- 6L. Colwill
- 3W. Fofana
- 2M. Palestra
- 34Joshua Kofi Acheampong
- 39M. Penders
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 09:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hull City have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Chelsea have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Everton(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Everton(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hull City wins, 1 draw, 5 Chelsea wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chelsea 2-2 Hull City | Premier League |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hull City 0-4 Chelsea | FA Cup |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Hull City 1-2 Chelsea | FA Cup |
| Feb 16, 2018 | Chelsea 4-0 Hull City | FA Cup |
| Jan 22, 2017 | Chelsea 2-0 Hull City | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Hull City 0-2 Chelsea | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Hull City score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chelsea score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Chelsea | 2.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hull City sit 13th in Premier League (11 points from 10 matches) and Chelsea sit 5th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 16 |
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
A question about Hull City vs Chelsea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hull City vs Chelsea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Hull City.
- Where and when is Hull City vs Chelsea played?
- Hull City vs Chelsea is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The MKM Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.