Arsenal vs Sunderland: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Emirates Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Sunderland. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arsenal vs Sunderland?
Arsenal is a heavy favourite: 2,437 Elo points against 2,130, a 307-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arsenal vs Sunderland
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arsenal
4-2-3-1- 29K. Havertz
- 41D. Rice
- 7B. Saka
- 8M. Ødegaard
- 39Bruno Guimarães
- 10E. Eze
- 6Gabriel Magalhães
- 15E. Konsa
- 33R. Calafiori
- 4B. White
- 1David Raya
Sunderland
4-2-3-1- 57Timur Tuterov
- 27N. Sadiki
- 34G. Xhaka
- 28E. Le Fée
- 32T. Hume
- 11C. Rigg
- 20N. Mukiele
- 4K. Danso
- 17Reinildo
- 15O. Alderete
- 22R. Roefs
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Sunderland have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Lille(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 4-2 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Torreense(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 3-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Arsenal wins, 1 draw, 0 Sunderland wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sunderland 0-2 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Arsenal 3-0 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Sunderland 2-2 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2021 | Arsenal 5-1 Sunderland | League Cup |
| May 16, 2017 | Arsenal 2-0 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Sunderland 1-4 Arsenal | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Sunderland vs Arsenal on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sunderland score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 2.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Sunderland | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arsenal sit 2nd in Premier League (18 points from 7 matches) and Sunderland sit 19th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arsenal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
A question about Arsenal vs Sunderland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arsenal vs Sunderland?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Sunderland.
- Where and when is Arsenal vs Sunderland played?
- Arsenal vs Sunderland is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Emirates Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.