Match

Bath City vs Hanwell Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Twerton Park Stadium, Bath, Somerset

Bath CityHanwell Town

The Footlab model makes Bath City the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Hanwell Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bath City vs Hanwell Town?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Bath City (1,690) and Hanwell Town (1,752).

Bath City win39 %
Draw25 %
Hanwell Town win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bath City have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Hanwell Town have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bath City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Basingstoke Town(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Hanworth Villa(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Plymouth Parkway(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Sholing(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Farnborough(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Hanwell Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gloucester City(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Sholing(home)0-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Basingstoke Town(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Malvern Town(away)2-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 25, 2026Aldershot Town(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Bath City score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hanwell Town score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bath City1.21.928/1510/15
Hanwell Town1.11.246/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bath City sit 6th in Non League Premier - Southern South (7 points from 4 matches) and Hanwell Town sit 13th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Bath City4211437
13Hanwell Town4121445

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bath City vs Hanwell Town?
The Footlab model makes Bath City the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Hanwell Town.
Where and when is Bath City vs Hanwell Town played?
Bath City vs Hanwell Town is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Twerton Park Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bath City and Hanwell Town

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