Bath City vs Hanwell Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Twerton Park Stadium, Bath, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Bath City the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Hanwell Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bath City vs Hanwell Town?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Bath City (1,690) and Hanwell Town (1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bath City have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Hanwell Town have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Bath City score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hanwell Town score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bath City | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Hanwell Town | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bath City sit 6th in Non League Premier - Southern South (7 points from 4 matches) and Hanwell Town sit 13th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bath City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 | Hanwell Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bath City vs Hanwell Town?
- The Footlab model makes Bath City the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Hanwell Town.
- Where and when is Bath City vs Hanwell Town played?
- Bath City vs Hanwell Town is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Twerton Park Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 5, 2026Frome TownvsYate Town
- Dec 5, 2026UxbridgevsPlymouth Parkway
- Dec 5, 2026Chertsey TownvsBracknell Town
- Dec 5, 2026Evesham UnitedvsPoole Town
- Dec 5, 2026SholingvsBasingstoke Town
- Dec 5, 2026Gosport BoroughvsBerkhamsted
- Dec 5, 2026Wimborne TownvsTaunton Town