Match

Chertsey Town vs Evesham United: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Alwyns Lane Football Ground, Chertsey, Surrey

Chertsey TownEvesham United

The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Evesham United. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chertsey Town vs Evesham United?

Chertsey Town starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,838 vs 1,709).

Chertsey Town win70 %
Draw18 %
Evesham United win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chertsey Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Evesham United have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chertsey Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Sholing(away)4-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Yate Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Berkhamsted(home)4-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Gloucester City(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Westfield (Surrey)(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Evesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hanworth Villa(away)1-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Chichester City(home)3-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Frome Town(home)0-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Basingstoke Town(away)4-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Bishop's Cleeve(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Chertsey Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Evesham United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2026Evesham United 1-1 Chertsey TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Nov 15, 2025Chertsey Town 4-0 Evesham UnitedNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Chertsey Town on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chertsey Town1.91.349/159/15
Evesham United1.31.748/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chertsey Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Evesham United sit 12th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chertsey Town431010410
12Evesham United42028106

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chertsey Town vs Evesham United?
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Evesham United.
Where and when is Chertsey Town vs Evesham United played?
Chertsey Town vs Evesham United is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Alwyns Lane Football Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chertsey Town and Evesham United

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