Match

Evesham United vs Gosport Borough: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, Evesham, Worcestershire

Evesham UnitedGosport Borough

The Footlab model makes Evesham United the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Gosport Borough. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Evesham United vs Gosport Borough?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Evesham United (1,709) and Gosport Borough (1,727).

Evesham United win40 %
Draw25 %
Gosport Borough win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Evesham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gosport Borough have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Evesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hanworth Villa(away)1-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Chichester City(home)3-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Frome Town(home)0-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Basingstoke Town(away)4-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Bishop's Cleeve(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Gosport Borough
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Frome Town(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Uxbridge(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 12, 2026Hanworth Villa(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Yate Town(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 25, 2026Plymouth Parkway(home)3-6Non League Premier - Southern South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Evesham United win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Gosport Borough win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Evesham United 1-3 Gosport BoroughNon League Premier - Southern South
Dec 6, 2025Gosport Borough 1-0 Evesham UnitedNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Gosport Borough on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gosport Borough score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Evesham United1.31.748/1510/15
Gosport Borough1.41.738/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Evesham United sit 12th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Gosport Borough sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Evesham United42028106
16Gosport Borough4112344

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Evesham United vs Gosport Borough?
The Footlab model makes Evesham United the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Gosport Borough.
Where and when is Evesham United vs Gosport Borough played?
Evesham United vs Gosport Borough is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Evesham United and Gosport Borough

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