Evesham United vs Gosport Borough: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, Evesham, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Evesham United the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Gosport Borough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Evesham United vs Gosport Borough?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Evesham United (1,709) and Gosport Borough (1,727).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Evesham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gosport Borough have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bishop's Cleeve(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Uxbridge(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yate Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 3-6 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Evesham United win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Gosport Borough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Evesham United 1-3 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Gosport Borough 1-0 Evesham United | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Gosport Borough on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gosport Borough score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evesham United | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Gosport Borough | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Evesham United sit 12th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Gosport Borough sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Evesham United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 16 | Gosport Borough | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Evesham United vs Gosport Borough?
- The Footlab model makes Evesham United the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Gosport Borough.
- Where and when is Evesham United vs Gosport Borough played?
- Evesham United vs Gosport Borough is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 14, 2026Frome TownvsHanworth Villa
- Nov 14, 2026Basingstoke TownvsChippenham Town
- Nov 14, 2026Bracknell TownvsUxbridge
- Nov 14, 2026Chertsey TownvsWimborne Town
- Nov 14, 2026Hanwell TownvsPlymouth Parkway
- Nov 14, 2026Poole TownvsTaunton Town
- Nov 14, 2026Gloucester CityvsSholing