Sholing vs Evesham United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mackoy Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Sholing the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Evesham United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sholing vs Evesham United?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Sholing (1,802) and Evesham United (1,709).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sholing have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Evesham United have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bishop's Cleeve(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sholing win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Evesham United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Evesham United 0-0 Sholing | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Sholing 3-0 Evesham United | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 28, 2023 | Sholing 0-2 Evesham United | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Evesham United 0-2 Sholing | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Evesham United 2-2 Sholing | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Sholing 1-0 Evesham United | Non League Div One - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Sholing on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sholing score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sholing | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Evesham United | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sholing sit 17th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Evesham United sit 12th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Evesham United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Sholing | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sholing vs Evesham United?
- The Footlab model makes Sholing the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Evesham United.
- Where and when is Sholing vs Evesham United played?
- Sholing vs Evesham United is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mackoy Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Taunton TownvsChertsey Town
- Nov 21, 2026BerkhamstedvsFrome Town
- Nov 21, 2026UxbridgevsGloucester City
- Nov 21, 2026Chichester CityvsBasingstoke Town
- Nov 21, 2026Gosport BoroughvsHavant & Wville
- Nov 21, 2026Wimborne TownvsBath City
- Nov 21, 2026Yate TownvsHanwell Town
- Nov 21, 2026Chippenham TownvsBracknell Town