Poole Town vs Taunton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tatnam Ground, Poole, Dorset
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Taunton Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poole Town vs Taunton Town?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Poole Town (1,823) and Taunton Town (1,776).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poole Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Taunton Town have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 4-5 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Malvern Town(home) | 5-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Poole Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Taunton Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Poole Town 2-1 Taunton Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Taunton Town 1-4 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Taunton Town 2-0 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Poole Town 2-3 Taunton Town | FA Cup |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Poole Town 1-0 Taunton Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Taunton Town 1-1 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Poole Town vs Taunton Town on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Taunton Town score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poole Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Taunton Town | 1.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poole Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Taunton Town sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Taunton Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 6 |
| 11 | Poole Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poole Town vs Taunton Town?
- The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Taunton Town.
- Where and when is Poole Town vs Taunton Town played?
- Poole Town vs Taunton Town is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 14, 2026Frome TownvsHanworth Villa
- Nov 14, 2026Basingstoke TownvsChippenham Town
- Nov 14, 2026Bracknell TownvsUxbridge
- Nov 14, 2026Chertsey TownvsWimborne Town
- Nov 14, 2026Evesham UnitedvsGosport Borough
- Nov 14, 2026Hanwell TownvsPlymouth Parkway
- Nov 14, 2026Gloucester CityvsSholing