Plymouth Parkway vs Evesham United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Manadon Sports Hub, Plymouth, Devon
The Footlab model makes Plymouth Parkway the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Evesham United. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plymouth Parkway vs Evesham United?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Plymouth Parkway (1,812) and Evesham United (1,746).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth Parkway have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Evesham United have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 7-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bishop's Cleeve(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Plymouth Parkway win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Evesham United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Evesham United 1-1 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Plymouth Parkway 1-0 Evesham United | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 5, 2022 | Plymouth Parkway 2-0 Evesham United | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Evesham United 3-1 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Div One - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Plymouth Parkway on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth Parkway score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth Parkway | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Evesham United | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plymouth Parkway sit 5th in Non League Premier - Southern South (7 points from 4 matches) and Evesham United sit 12th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Plymouth Parkway | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Evesham United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plymouth Parkway vs Evesham United?
- The Footlab model makes Plymouth Parkway the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Evesham United.
- Where and when is Plymouth Parkway vs Evesham United played?
- Plymouth Parkway vs Evesham United is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Manadon Sports Hub, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.