EVV vs Achilles Veen: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark In de Bandert (EVV), Echt-Susteren
The Footlab model makes Achilles Veen the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for EVV. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win EVV vs Achilles Veen?
Achilles Veen starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,722 vs 1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, EVV have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Achilles Veen have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dongen(home) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | GOES(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 3-10 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | MVV(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | SteDoCo(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Noordwijk(home) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Lisse(away) | 1-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Kozakken Boys(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 2-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 3, 2024 | Harkemase Boys(home) | 2-1 | KNVB Beker |
How many goals should we expect?
EVV score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Achilles Veen score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVV | 1.4 | 2.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Achilles Veen | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
EVV sit 16th in Derde Divisie (0 points from 2 matches) and Achilles Veen sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | EVV | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 | Achilles Veen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for EVV vs Achilles Veen?
- The Footlab model makes Achilles Veen the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for EVV.
- Where and when is EVV vs Achilles Veen played?
- EVV vs Achilles Veen is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark In de Bandert (EVV), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.