Purmersteijn vs Excelsior '31: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Purmersteijn, Purmerend
The Footlab AI model makes Purmersteijn the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Excelsior '31. The most likely score is 1-1. If Purmersteijn wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,591 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Purmersteijn vs Excelsior '31?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Purmersteijn (1,746) and Excelsior '31 (1,785).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Purmersteijn vs Excelsior '31
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Purmersteijn
Not enough data to predict the Purmersteijn lineup.
Excelsior '31
Not enough data to predict the Excelsior '31 lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 09:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Purmersteijn have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Excelsior '31 have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | ACV(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Harkemase Boys(home) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(away) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Zwaluwen(away) | 1-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 20, 2026 | ADO '20(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AFC '34(home) | 4-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hoogeveen(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Purmersteijn wins, 1 draw, 0 Excelsior '31 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Excelsior '31 1-1 Purmersteijn | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior '31 vs Purmersteijn on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Purmersteijn score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior '31 score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purmersteijn | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Excelsior '31 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Purmersteijn sit 8th in Derde Divisie (15 points from 9 matches) and Excelsior '31 sit 5th (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Excelsior '31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 19 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 15 |
A question about Purmersteijn vs Excelsior '31?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Purmersteijn vs Excelsior '31?
- The Footlab AI model makes Purmersteijn the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Excelsior '31.
- Where and when is Purmersteijn vs Excelsior '31 played?
- Purmersteijn vs Excelsior '31 is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Purmersteijn, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.