Excelsior Maassluis vs Achilles Veen: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Dijkpolder, Maassluis
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior Maassluis the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Achilles Veen. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,621 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior Maassluis vs Achilles Veen?
Excelsior Maassluis starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,938 vs 1,737).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Excelsior Maassluis vs Achilles Veen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Excelsior Maassluis
4-3-3- 17D. Slagveer
- 10M. Tahiri
- 9B. Wennekers
- 27D. Plank
- 30Y. Hamd
- 8J. Udenhout
- 25W. Vermeer
- 24D. Lopes Varela
- 3K. Ringeling
- 2J. den Haan
- 1Max van Herk
Achilles Veen
4-3-3- 12J. Scheij
- 9P. Goossens
- 10R. Koenen
- 17P. van Arnhem
- 16Melle Mandemakers
- 7Jari Koenraat
- 14S. Warmolts
- 11Ayrton Daryl Statie
- 2Luca den Heijer
- 19K. Vermeulen
- 1Mathijs Donatz
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior Maassluis have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Achilles Veen have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 0-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | EVV(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Zwaluwen(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rijnvogels(home) | 1-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gemert(away) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | EVV(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Zwaluwen(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Excelsior Maassluis win, 0 draws, 0 Achilles Veen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Achilles Veen 2-3 Excelsior Maassluis | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Achilles Veen vs Excelsior Maassluis on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior Maassluis score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Achilles Veen score 1.2 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior Maassluis | 1.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Achilles Veen | 1.2 | 2.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior Maassluis sit 3rd in Derde Divisie (26 points from 11 matches) and Achilles Veen sit 17th (6 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Excelsior Maassluis | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 26 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 6 |
A question about Excelsior Maassluis vs Achilles Veen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior Maassluis vs Achilles Veen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior Maassluis the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Achilles Veen.
- Where and when is Excelsior Maassluis vs Achilles Veen played?
- Excelsior Maassluis vs Achilles Veen is played on February 13, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Dijkpolder, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.