Zwaluwen vs Groene Ster: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Zwaluwenlaan, Vlaardingen
The Footlab AI model makes Zwaluwen the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Groene Ster. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,075 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zwaluwen vs Groene Ster?
Zwaluwen starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,825 vs 1,659).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Zwaluwen vs Groene Ster
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Zwaluwen
4-3-3- 9J. van Mullem
- 8Robin Hofman
- 17Ricardo Merrelaar
- 13Jesper Gudde
- 2Mario Nijgh
- 10Jerry Scholman
- 16D. van Rijn
- 4Vincent van Dorp
- 3L. Krznaric
- 6Erwin de Groot
- 23Marvin van Tienen
Groene Ster
4-3-3- 9Bjorn Stassen
- 21L. Golsteijn
- 11S. Ahidar
- 27M. Germonprez
- 18T. Hajjaji
- 8B. Simons
- 17D. Stassar
- 23D. Zwartjes
- 2J. de Kleijn
- 10C. Ghijsen
- 1M. Voss
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 08:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zwaluwen have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Groene Ster have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Achilles Veen(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Noordwijk(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Purmersteijn(home) | 0-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Dongen(away) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | GOES(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 1-5 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AFC Amsterdam(home) | 1-6 | KNVB Beker |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Zwaluwen win, 0 draws, 2 Groene Ster wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Groene Ster 1-0 Zwaluwen | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Zwaluwen 3-2 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Groene Ster 2-0 Zwaluwen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
Last archived meeting: Groene Ster vs Zwaluwen on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zwaluwen score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Groene Ster score 1.5 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zwaluwen | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Groene Ster | 1.5 | 2.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zwaluwen sit 7th in Derde Divisie (16 points from 10 matches) and Groene Ster sit 14th (9 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Zwaluwen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 16 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 9 |
A question about Zwaluwen vs Groene Ster?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zwaluwen vs Groene Ster?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zwaluwen the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Groene Ster.
- Where and when is Zwaluwen vs Groene Ster played?
- Zwaluwen vs Groene Ster is played on February 13, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Zwaluwenlaan, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.