Staphorst vs Harkemase Boys: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Het Noorderslag, Staphorst
The Footlab AI model makes Harkemase Boys the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Staphorst. The most likely score is 1-1. If Harkemase Boys wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,533 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Staphorst vs Harkemase Boys?
Harkemase Boys starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,895 vs 1,730).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Staphorst vs Harkemase Boys
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Staphorst
4-3-3- 11S. Haanstra
- 20J. Hooikammer
- 11M. Luchtenberg
- 7D. Schra
- 17M. van 't Ende
- 6R. Crediet
- 4D. Muis
- 15K. Engbers
- 5J. Duit
- 21J. Huizing
- 24A. van Zaltbommel
Harkemase Boys
Not enough data to predict the Harkemase Boys lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Staphorst have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Harkemase Boys have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Hercules(away) | 1-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | TEC(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Excelsior '31(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dovo(away) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hoogeveen(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Purmersteijn(away) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | VV Scherpenzeel(home) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Staphorst wins, 1 draw, 3 Harkemase Boys wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Harkemase Boys 1-1 Staphorst | Derde Divisie |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Staphorst 0-1 Harkemase Boys | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Harkemase Boys 2-0 Staphorst | Derde Divisie |
| May 18, 2024 | Staphorst 2-0 Harkemase Boys | Derde Divisie |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Harkemase Boys 3-0 Staphorst | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Staphorst 3-0 Harkemase Boys | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Harkemase Boys vs Staphorst on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Staphorst score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Harkemase Boys score 2.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staphorst | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Harkemase Boys | 2.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Staphorst sit 15th in Derde Divisie (9 points from 11 matches) and Harkemase Boys sit 1st (26 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harkemase Boys | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 14 | 26 |
| 15 | Staphorst | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 9 |
A question about Staphorst vs Harkemase Boys?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Staphorst vs Harkemase Boys?
- The Footlab AI model makes Harkemase Boys the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Staphorst.
- Where and when is Staphorst vs Harkemase Boys played?
- Staphorst vs Harkemase Boys is played on February 13, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Het Noorderslag, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.