Eyüpspor vs Samsunspor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Samsunspor the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Eyüpspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eyüpspor vs Samsunspor?
Samsunspor starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (2,038 vs 1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eyüpspor have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Samsunspor have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(home) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 17, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 3-3 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Rizespor(home) | 4-0 | Süper Lig |
| May 3, 2026 | Kayserispor(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Göztepe(home) | 3-3 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Eyüpspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Samsunspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Eyüpspor 1-2 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Dec 24, 2025 | Samsunspor 2-1 Eyüpspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Samsunspor 1-0 Eyüpspor | Süper Lig |
| May 4, 2025 | Samsunspor 3-0 Eyüpspor | Süper Lig |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Eyüpspor 3-0 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Eyüpspor 1-4 Samsunspor | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Eyüpspor vs Samsunspor on Apr 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eyüpspor score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Samsunspor score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eyüpspor | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Samsunspor | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eyüpspor sit 16th in Süper Lig (0 points from 2 matches) and Samsunspor sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Samsunspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | Eyüpspor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eyüpspor vs Samsunspor?
- The Footlab model makes Samsunspor the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Eyüpspor.
- Where and when is Eyüpspor vs Samsunspor played?
- Eyüpspor vs Samsunspor is played on January 17, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.